NCHU Course Outline
Course Name (中) 時間序列分析(6073)
(Eng.) Time Series Analysis
Offering Dept Department of Finance
Course Type Elective Credits 3 Teacher CHEN, MEI-YUAN
Department Department of Finance / Graduate Language Chinese Semester 2026-SPRING
Course Description 本課程介紹財務金融資料時間序列分析的理論模型及R語言的實證分析,內容包含以日頻率資料進行條件平均數及條件變異數的模型及其估計,並介紹日內高頻資料的函數型資料的分析方法。
Prerequisites
Relevance of Course Objectives and Core Learning Outcomes(%) Teaching and Assessment Methods for Course Objectives
Course Objectives Competency Indicators Ratio(%) Teaching Methods Assessment Methods
本課程目標在於使修習同學具有實證分析財務金融資料的能力,包含條件平均數與變異數的模型的建立及估計,使能進行財務金融商品預期報酬率及風險的預測,進而具有選擇最佳資產配置的能力。本課程強調R電腦語言程式實證分析能力的培養。
1.Critical Thinking
6. Independent problem solving
70
30
Exercises
Discussion
Lecturing
topic Discussion / Production
Written Presentation
Attendance
Oral Presentation
Quiz
Course Content and Homework/Schedule/Tests Schedule
Week Course Content
Week 1 1. 課程內容及大綱介紹
2. 隨機過程、函數型資料、追蹤資料及時間序列
Week 2 1. 恆定與非恆定隨機過程之定義
2. 時間序列單根及恆定性檢定基礎與方法
Week 3 時間序列平均數變動之檢定邏輯與方法
Week 4 單變量ARIMA模型(一)
Week 5 單變量ARIMA模型(二)
Week 6 1. 單變量ARIMA模型之預測與比較
2. 財務金融實證分析案例
Week 7 單變量時間序列模型之R語言程式
Week 8 期中考試
Week 9 1. 期中考試檢討
2. 單變量線性ARCH及GARCH模型
Week 10 單變量非線性ARCH及GARCH模型
Week 11 1. 金融商品報酬率風險之預測及其應用
Week 12 1. 多變量時間序列VAR及VECM模型
2. 共積關係檢定
Week 13 單變量函數型資料分析:函數資料重建與FPCA
Week 14 單變量函數型資料恆定性分析
Week 15 多變量函數型資料之迴歸分析
Week 16 財務金融實證分析 自主學習:Gapminder視覺化統計分析線上影片教學 自主學習:Rmarkdown程式撰寫的線上影片教學
self-directed
learning

Evaluation
課堂參與: 10% 課堂討論:20% 家庭作業:20% 期中考試:20% 期末書面報告:30%
Textbook & other References
1. Shumway, R.H. and D.S. Stoffer (2017), Time Series Analysis and its Applications: with R Examples,
Springer (eBook).
2. Tsay, Ruey S. (2013), An Introduction to Analysis of Financial Data with R, Wiley.
3. Woodward, W.A., H.L. Gray, and A.C. Elliott (2017), Applied Time Series Analysis with R,
Chapman & Hall.
4. Horváth, L. andd P. Kokoszka (2012), Inference for Functional Data with Applications,
Springer (eBook).
Teaching Aids & Teacher's Website
iLearning
Office Hours
15:00~17:00,星期一
Sustainable Development Goals, SDGs(Link URL)
include experience courses:N
Please respect the intellectual property rights and use the materials legally.Please respect gender equality.
Update Date, year/month/day:None Printed Date, year/month/day:2026 / 5 / 31
The second-hand book website:http://www.myub.com.tw/